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Sorry King Midas, but cipher cares about what you blow anymore. That shimmery actuality you cook bottomward to accomplish rings and things has absent its luster. Gold was the allocution of the boondocks about $1,900 an ounce but aback the collapse in prices now it’s an afterthought. Which to me is baffling. I anticipate that the absolute acumen gold prices are not that aerial is the aforementioned acumen bodies anticipate that gold should be high. It’s all the “worthless” authorization currencies of the world. Globally we are press money and devaluing currency. So the alone affair on Earth that should be account any money is a adamantine asset like gold, right? Sounds acceptable in theory. But who are the aloft players in the gold market? Who buys the best gold? Central banks do. So now if your bill has attenuated again assumption what you can’t do? Buy as abundant gold as you acclimated to. And the aeon continues…

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Downward Channels

I am not adventurous nor crazy abundant to arise out and say that the boxy times are abaft us for the adored metals. I do, however, activity up a brace of archive that may change a few minds. Aboriginal booty a attending at the gold blueprint application the barter traded armamentarium SPDR Gold Shares (GLD). From the October 2012 about aerial a $175 we can draw a trend band approach aloft the aboriginal few tops. This trend was burst to the downside in April 2013, apprehension these trend curve anachronistic for the time being. Aloof for giggles though, let’s extend these through today. Added on this later.

Now let’s fast advanced to amount activity aback September 2013.  We can draw addition approach advancing bottomward aloft the acme through January 2014 alone to be abandoned at the alpha of February by connected bullish amount action. This abstruse account looks a lot altered accustomed this new set of circumstances. The blueprint changes from a bottomward afterlife circling to asleep cat animation with a ancillary of optimism. Amount sits aloft the 25×5 SMA and, added importantly, aloft the best contempo bottomward amount channel. To adduce the abundant Jim Carey, “So you’re adage there’s a chance!” The aing attrition sits at the addendum of the bottomward trend band from the October 2012 high.

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You can’t allocution gold afterwards advertence its hard-working, industrious, admitting beneath alluring and adorable brother silver. On the archive argent and gold accept a actual aerial correlation. Economically this never absolutely fabricated faculty to me as they accept to actual altered sets of accumulation and appeal determinants. Argent has automated uses far aloft and aloft what gold has. Gold appealing abundant gets mined, shined, and showed off or buried. Argent is acclimated to accomplish all sorts genitalia from ablaze switches to soldering applications to baptize purification. Regardless of what approach suggests, the blueprint moves appealing abundant in footfall with gold. As such, the argent blueprint has about the aforementioned arrangement as gold but has not had the blemish yet from the aloft trend band resistance. Actuality we use the iShares Argent Trust (SLV) and can see it trading in the $19 handle bottomward from an October 2012 aerial in the low $30s and a far cry from the best highs apparent in April of 2011 in the $48 range.

Story Continues

Gold has a almost aerial alternation with abounding metals, not aloof silver. My cerebration is that if we see a accretion in gold prices it will discharge over to silver, platinum, copper, aluminum and a host of added metals to a assertive degree.

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What if?

Entertain my agrarian account for a minute here. What if the pundits agreeable “Gold is dead” are wrong? What if gold has apparent the affliction of its decline? What if the contempo amount activity is the alpha of a bit-by-bit accretion in prices and not a asleep cat bounce? What if there was a way to accumulation from this crazy angle added than affairs GLD or SLV?

If you accept never paid any apperception to the miners again you ability like what you’re about to hear. By advance in a adapted mining operation we angle to accomplish profits on a accretion in gold and argent prices but will still be cloistral by acknowledgment to added metals so it is not a “make or break” proposition. Further, we can use the Zacks Rank to bare mining companies that accept had the best absolute balance appraisal revisions. Accustomed the actuality that miners accept been almost exhausted up during aftermost year’s bazaar assemblage we accept the adventitious to acquisition a few absolute bargains.

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Rio Tinto PLC (RIO) is an all-embracing mining aggregation with interests in mining for gold, silver, copper, coal, adamant ore, uranium, zinc and a host of added metals. Fundamentally it’s a Zacks #2 Rank. A quick attending at the amount and accord blueprint gives me achievement for the future. You can see the amount tracked the accord estimates and revisions almost carefully for the accomplished four years. Estimates accept slid forth with prices for gold and argent aback Q2 2011 and the banal awash off as a result. The contempo accord estimates accept apparent a animation off the basal as prices arise to be stabilizing. Should this trend abide it is actual bullish for shares of RIO.

The abstruse blueprint on RIO reads bullish as well. The contempo ambit from $51 to $57 looks to me like a alliance afterwards a big move from the low $40s. A breach aloft $57 with aggregate would be a actual bullish breakout. Failure to blemish would not be a advertise arresting but rather a adventitious to get in a the basal of the contempo alliance ambit from $51-$53. A breakdown beneath $51 agency you attending for addition banal to buy.

There is article about the name of this banal that soothes my nerves. Stillwater Mining Co (SWC) is affianced in mining operations in the Stillwater Complex in southern Montana. The breadth contains gold, copper, nickel, chromium, platinum and palladium. SWC is a Zacks #1 Rank and its aftermost earning abruptness was a whopping 425%. I appetite to appearance the amount and accord blueprint because it shares an important appropriate with RIO. Contempo balance revisions accept apparent upwards drive for the aboriginal time aback gold and argent began their decline. I anticipate that a arrangement is alpha to advance amidst analysts which alone added supports the abstraction that gold may accept already bottomed.

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The amount blueprint is briefly bearish but that could change in a few days. I like the actuality that the stochastics are oversold and apprehension a buy signal. I like the cull aback and abutment at $12. What I don’t like is the acceleration of the abatement from mid-January to today and I don’t like seeing the banal beneath the 25×5. This barter set up could booty a brace weeks. I would charge to see the banal get aloft the 25×5, cull aback to it, again see a academic buy afore I got on board. This is a absolute case of abundant fundamentals but I’ll canyon on the technicals appropriate now. In mid-December the banal set up altogether for a buy about $11 which took the banal a $14. But it is not mid-December, it’s February so I would be accommodating for bigger abstruse timing.

If the aboriginal two examples were dipping your toes in the baptize on a accessible gold backlash again this aing banal is a armament from the aerial board. Franco Nevada Corp (FNV) is a gold focused ability and beck aggregation with some interests in platinum accumulation metals. While this does not accomplish it a 100% authentic gold play, it does accord it added accident to amount movements in the abject metal. The amount and accord blueprint looks the way you anticipate it would accustomed the added two examples. However, FNV has alone been about aback backward 2011 so the blueprint is not as impactful. Actuality a newer operation, the analysts haven’t absolutely ample things out and the estimates accept been all over the abode historically. Recently, upwards revisions of some consequence accept helped advance FNV into a Zacks #2 Rank.

On my blueprint I like what I see. The banal pushed aloft attrition at $48 and had been consolidating. It adequate durably aloft the 25×5 while the 25×5 had a actual absolute slope. Stochastics were alpha to arise bottomward from overbought levels as the banal circumscribed amid $48 and $50. I would buy today’s breach out aloft $50. If you absent it, that’s alright too, a bigger befalling will arise with a cull aback to the 25×5 accompanying by acceptance from the stochastics. It is a advantageous abstruse blueprint with complete fundamentals abaft it.

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The basal band is if you accept in a accessible accretion in gold prices these three stocks are all acceptable ideas. With a little bit of backbone you can acquisition favorable access credibility that will activity up the best accident against accolade scenarios. If gold continues to unwind, hopefully the about-face in the aboriginal two stocks will beanbag any downside and a wisely set stop accident will assure you on FNV. With the blueprint set up on gold and the balance revisions by analysts I anticipate there is a almost able case for at atomic a alliance in gold prices if not a changeabout of the continued appellation bottomward trend. 

Read the Full Research Address on RIO

Read the analyst address on GLDRead the Full Research Address on FNVRead the Full Research Address on SWC

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Read the analyst address on SLV

Zacks Investment Research

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